ARI Formula:
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The Annual Rate of Increase (ARI) formula, also known as Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), calculates the mean annual growth rate of an investment over a specified time period longer than one year. It represents one of the most accurate ways to calculate and determine returns for anything that can rise or fall in value over time.
The calculator uses the ARI formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the constant rate of return that would be required for an investment to grow from its beginning balance to its ending balance, assuming profits were reinvested at the end of each period.
Details: ARI is crucial for comparing historical returns of different investments, evaluating investment performance, forecasting future growth, and making informed financial decisions. It smooths out volatility and provides a standardized measure of growth.
Tips: Enter the beginning value, ending value, and number of years. All values must be positive numbers. The beginning value should be less than the ending value for positive growth, or greater for negative growth (decline).
Q1: What is the difference between ARI and average annual return?
A: ARI accounts for compounding effect, while average annual return simply averages yearly returns without considering compounding.
Q2: Can ARI be negative?
A: Yes, if the ending value is less than the beginning value, ARI will be negative, indicating a decline in value over the period.
Q3: What is a good ARI percentage?
A: This depends on the asset class and market conditions. Generally, ARI above inflation rate (2-3%) is considered positive real return.
Q4: Does ARI account for volatility?
A: No, ARI shows the smoothed annual rate and doesn't reflect the volatility experienced during the investment period.
Q5: Can ARI be used for periods less than one year?
A: While mathematically possible, ARI is designed for multi-year periods. For shorter periods, other metrics like simple return are more appropriate.